On a special online broadcast of 'RealTime With Bill Maher' on Wednesday, filmmaker Michael Moore predicts that Donald Trump will win the 2016 election by carrying all of the states Mitt Romney won in 2012, plus Wisconsin, Ohio, Pennsylvania and his home state of Michigan. "I think one of the things I've been concerned about this week is... that we're sitting in our bubble having a good laugh at this shitshow, as you say, of a [Republican National Convention], but the truth is that this plays to a lot of people that he has to win to become the next president," Moore said. "I'm sorry to be the buzzkill here," he said. "But I think Trump is going to win. I'm sorry." "I lived in Michigan, an let me tell you. It's gonna be the Brexit strategy. The middle of England is Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Mitt Romney lost by 64 electoral votes. The total number of electoral votes in those states in the rust belt, 64. All he has to do is win those four states. I was there during the primary, he went down and said they moved this factory down to Mexico, I'm putting a tariff on the cars, and it was music to peoples' ears," he added. "And more people in the primary in Michigan voted Republican than Democrat this year. That should be a disturbing thing for everyone."